[Darwinism (1889) by Alfred Russel Wallace]@TWC D-Link book
Darwinism (1889)

CHAPTER VII
36/46

The probabilities are, therefore, that nine-tenths of them--that is, 81,000--would pair with their normal fellows, while 9000 would pair with the opposite abnormal variety forming the above-mentioned sterile unions.
Now, as the number of individuals forming a species remains constant, generally speaking, from year to year, we shall have next year also 100,000 pairs, of which the two physiological varieties will be in the proportion of eighty-one to one, or 98,780 pairs of the normal variety to 1220[64] of the abnormal, that being the proportion of the fertile unions of each.

In this year we shall find, by the same rule of probabilities, that only 15 males of the abnormal variety will pair with their like and be fertile, the remaining 1205 forming sterile unions with some of the normal variety.

The following year the total 100,000 pairs will consist of 99,984 of the normal, and only 16 of the abnormal variety; and the probabilities, of course, are, that the whole of these latter will pair with some of the enormous preponderance of normal individuals, and, their unions being sterile, the physiological variety will become extinct in the third year.
If now in the second and each succeeding year a similar proportion as at first (10 per cent) of the physiological variety is produced afresh from the ranks of the normal variety, the same rate of diminution will go on, and it will be found that, on the most favourable estimate, the physiological variety can never exceed 12,000 to the 88,000 of the normal form of the species, as shown by the following table:-- 1st Year.

10,000 of physiological variety to 90,000 of normal variety.
2d " 1,220 + 10,000 again produced.
3d " 16 + 1,220 + 10,000 do.

= 11,236 4th " O + 16 + 1,220 + 10,000 do.


<<Back  Index  Next>>

D-Link book Top

TWC mobile books