He adds, hypothetically, that perhaps the letters received at Dieppe "did somewhat discourage me." {77b} He was only certain that the devil was at the bottom of the whole affair.
The "tumults that appear to arise" are probably the dissensions between the Regent and the mutinous nobles who refused to invade England at her command.

D'Oysel needed a bodyguard; and he feared that the Lords would seize and carry off the Regent.

Arran, in 1564, speaks of a plot to capture her in Holyrood.

Here were promises of tumults.

There were also signs of a renewed feud between the house of Hamilton and the Stewart Earl of Lennox, the rival claimant of the crown.