[Andersonville Volume 1 by John McElroy]@TWC D-Link bookAndersonville Volume 1 CHAPTER XIV 1/6
CHAPTER XIV. HOPING FOR EXCHANGE--AN EXPOSITION OF THE DOCTRINE OF CHANCES -- OFF FOR ANDERSONVILLE--UNCERTAINTY AS TO OUR DESTINATION--ARRIVAL AT ANDERSONVILLE. As each lagging day closed, we confidently expected that the next would bring some news of the eagerly-desired exchange.
We hopefully assured each other that the thing could not be delayed much longer; that the Spring was near, the campaign would soon open, and each government would make an effort to get all its men into the field, and this would bring about a transfer of prisoners.
A Sergeant of the Seventh Indiana Infantry stated his theory to me this way: "You know I'm just old lightnin' on chuck-a-luck.
Now the way I bet is this: I lay down, say on the ace, an' it don't come up; I just double my bet on the ace, an' keep on doublin' every time it loses, until at last it comes up an' then I win a bushel o' money, and mebbe bust the bank. You see the thing's got to come up some time; an' every time it don't come up makes it more likely to come up the next time.
It's just the same way with this 'ere exchange.
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